Upcoming Scenarios and Developing Trends in the Generation of Energy in Pakistan: Forecasting Supply and Demand

The energy matrix structure of Pakistan shows least generation of power from renewable sources. The contribution of renewable sources for the production of energy in 2019 is just 5-6%. An exceptional potential is existing for the expansion of the renewable energy production in Pakistan that can even outweighs the national demands of the energy. An outstanding contribution of hydropower is existing currently in the national energy matrix. Pakistan has a significant potential for the exposure of other renewable energy sources such as solar, biomass and wind. This study focuses on the evolution of the Pakistani energy matrix exposing probable mitigation scenarios keeping in view of the possible climate changes. The LEAP System (Long range energy alternatives planning) methodology was adopted for the modeling purpose that allows us to suggest diverse scenarios under the umbrella of socio-economic scenarios and the REGSA developed project (Promoting renewable electricity generation in South America). The evaluated results forecast the future scenarios, probable developments in energy generation in terms of projected demand and supply till 2040 in Pakistan.