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Hazard Evaluation Techniques




               8.17    Other Hazard Identification Methods

                   Fault Tree and Event Tree methods can be applied qualitatively or quantitatively. They provide a format to document
               logical possibilities to which quantitative information may be added. Fault Tree may be used to identify all potential Initiating
               Events for a specific Loss Event. Event Tree may be used to identify feasible Incident Outcome for a specific Loss Event.
               These event trees are depicted in Figure 8-5.


                                Fault Tree                                  Event Tree


                                   Pump Seal                            Operator Stops   High Level
                                    Failure                     Tank    Transfer Upon  Interlock Shuts   Sequence
                                                               Overfill                         Description
                                                                          Full Tank  Off Feed Pump
                                      Or
                                                                                               Safe Condition
                                                                                               Continue Normal
                       Wear or      Pump         Poor                                            Operation
                       Fatigue     Deadhead    Installation              Success
                                                                                               Safe Condition
                                                                                                 Automatic
                                                                         Failure    Success
                                      Or                                                         Shutdown
                                                                                              Unsafe Condition
                                                                                    Failure
                                                                                                 Release to
                           Manual Value   Loss of Air to                                        Atmosphere
                            Left Closed  Automated Valve

                                    For Illustration Only – these diagrams do not reflect complete results
                                             Figure 8-5 Example fault tree and event tree



                   Quantitatively, these methods can provide likelihood information for an event sequence. This will be discussed further
               in the Likelihood Analysis Section.
                   Bow Tie (or Barrier) analysis is a hazard analysis technique which is a combination of fault tree analysis (FTA) and
               event tree analysis (ETA). Fault tree analysis (FTA) identifies initiating causes that can lead to a loss event, whereas the
               Event tree analysis (ETA) identifies the potential incident outcome from the loss event.

                   A major strength of a Bow Tie Analysis is its use as a communication tool. This Cause-Consequence diagram displays
               the relationships between Incident Outcome of a single Loss Event and their Causes including where in the event sequence
               various Safeguards or Barriers may be applied. Bow Tie graphically shows the relationship among various scenarios with
               a common Loss Event and the various Preventive or Mitigating safeguards that may be employed, as depicted in Figure
               8-6.













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