(700c) Optimal Design, Control and Scheduling of Multi-Product Systems Under Uncertainty: A Stochastic Back-Off Approach
AIChE Annual Meeting
2018
2018 AIChE Annual Meeting
Computing and Systems Technology Division
Design and Operations Under Uncertainty II
Thursday, November 1, 2018 - 4:08pm to 4:27pm
The aim of this work is to present a decomposition algorithm for the optimal design, control and scheduling of multi-product systems subject to uncertainty and disturbances. The proposed decomposition framework involves the solution of a dynamic flexibility analysis followed by a dynamic feasibility analysis [5]. In the first (dynamic flexibility analysis), process design, control and scheduling decisions are sought using the expected values in the uncertain parameters and disturbances whereas in the latter (dynamic feasibility analysis), the solution obtained from the first is evaluated under stochastic realizations in the uncertain parameters and disturbances. The proposed framework assumes that the uncertain parameters and disturbances are stochastic random variables that follow specific probability distribution functions defined by the user. This a key feature considered in the present formulation since previous studies typically discretize the random uncertain variables[3], [5]. A back-off algorithm recently proposed in the literature is adopted to perform the optimal process integration under stochastic realizations process disturbances and uncertainty [6]. Back-off terms representing the variability of the process constraints due to stochastic realizations in uncertain parameters and disturbances are calculated using Monte Carlo (MC) sampling techniques. These back-off terms are updated at each iteration in the decomposition algorithm and added to each process constraint in the dynamic flexibility formulation to account for the stochastic realizations in the uncertain parameters and disturbances. The decomposition algorithm iterates in this fashion and eventually converges to a solution that can accommodate process variability due to uncertainty and disturbances. A case study involving the production of multiple products from a single equipment is examined to demonstrate the benefits and limitations of the proposed approach.
References
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