(529e) Safeprops: A Software for Fast and Reliable Estimation of Safety and Environmental Properties for Organic Compounds
The general form of the MG-GC method is:
fi(X) = â??NjCj + â??MkDk + â?? ElOl (1)
f(X) = TÎ¸ (2)
Robust regression is implemented for the parameter estimation. Here the Cauchy weight is used to place high weights on small residuals and small weights on large residuals:
Î¸* = arg min â?? wi(yiexp-yipred)2 (3)
wi = 1/(1 + (yiexp â?? yipred)2) (4)
Uncertainty of the parameter estimates is based on the asymptotic approximation of the covariance matrix COV(Î¸*):
COV(Î¸*) = SSE/(n â?? p) * (J(Î¸*)T J(Î¸*))-1 (5)
Following the methodology presented by Frutiger et al.  , the parameter estimates will be described by a student t-distribution:
Î¸*1-Î± = Î¸ Â± â??diag(J(Î¸*)COV(Î¸*)J(Î¸*)T) * t(n-p, Î±t/2) (6)
A first guess for the a priori unknown GC factors is provided by applying linear algebra:
Î¸^ = (TtrT)-1 * Ttr * f(X) (7)
The SAFEPROPS database is accessed to obtain confidence intervals of the property predictions and the following equation is applied:
ypred1-Î± = ypred Â± â??diag(J(Î¸*)COV(Î¸*)J(Î¸*)T) * t(n-p, Î±t/2) (8)
The software can predict the following safety properties at standard conditions: heat of combustion (Î?Hc(T0)), the lower and upper flammability limit (LFL(T0) and UFL(T0)), the auto ignition temperature (AIT(T0)) and the median lethal dose (LC50(T0)). Furthermore, it allows predicting the lower flammability limit at different temperatures (LFL(T)).
The following environmental properties can be estimated: Global Warming Potential (GWP), Ozone Depletion Potential (ODP).
The prediction can be applied to a large variety of chemical compounds including but not limited to hydrocarbons, aromatic compounds, alcohols, acids, esters, ethers, amines, cyclic compounds, hydro-fluorocarbons and chlorine compounds.
The practical application of the software is highlighted in a case study for the screening of organic working fluids for thermodynamic cycles. Safety and environmental constraints should be taken into account as early as possible for the screening of potential working fluid candidates. In this study, a large amount of chemical compounds have been computationally screened. Their performance in the cycle has been analyzed. The corresponding safety-related and environmental properties are then estimated by the new prediction software.
The study shows that the software is a powerful tool for the design of novel organic working fluids, if experimental data is missing.
Finally, a graphical user interface (GUI) is presented which allows the user to search for the compound of interest and obtain the safety and environmental properties including the uncertainty analysis in a tabulated form. An application programming interface (API) is provided to make SAFEPROPS connectible to other modeling environments such as Matlab.
 JÃ©rÃ´me Frutiger, Jens Abildskov and GÃ¼rkan Sin; A Rigorous Methodology for Development and Uncertainty Analysis of Group Contribution Based Property Models; Abstract from Nineteenth Symposium on Thermophysical Properties, Boulder, United States
 JÃ©rÃ´me Frutiger, Camille Marcarie, Jens Abildskov and GÃ¼rkan Sin; A Comprehensive Methodology for Development, Parameter Estimation, and Uncertainty Analysis of Group Contribution Based Property Models â?? An Application to the Heat of Combustion; J. Chem. Eng. Data, 2016, 61 (1), pp 602-613