(635a) Managing Model and Data Alternatives within the Design of Ionic Liquid Enabled Separations of High Global Warming Potential Hydrofluorocarbon Refrigerants
AIChE Annual Meeting
Thursday, November 11, 2021 - 3:30pm to 3:45pm
In this talk, we apply uncertainty quantification and statistical model selection to thermodynamic modeling of HFC-IL mixtures. Our ultimate goal is to answer several open modeling questions including (a) what level of model complexity is justified by experimental solubility data? (b) how can model overparameterization be avoided? (c) what is the impact of model choice and uncertainty on process design and operations decisions? (d) and, what type of data are most valuable to discriminate between models and reduce uncertainty in process scale decisions? We explore these questions in the context of separating R-410a, a mixture of difluoromethane (HFC-32) and pentafluoroethane (HFC-125). We determined that a van der Waals EoS with five fitted parameters is able to capture solubilities of HFC-32 and HFC-125 in six ILs, but uncertainty analysis showed four of the five parameters were correlated, indicating over-parameterization, and that another parameter was sloppy, indicating the model was insensitive to its value . Additionally, we investigated the use of the Margules and nonrandom two liquid activity coefficient models to predict solubilities for these two HFCs in six ILs, and determined that these activity coefficient models provided poorer fits than the van der Waals EoS. We now explore and compare three cubic EoS (van der Waals, Peng-Robinson, Soave-Redlich-Kwong) combined with a variety of mixing rules to identify which accurate, but not over-complicated, model can best be used in a separation process model of R-410a. We compare frequentist and Bayesian thermodynamic model parameter estimation methods and implement Bayesian thermodynamic model selection for the models of interest. We perform identifiability analysis to determine the sensitivity of these models to the fitted parameters within the mixing rules studied. Additionally, we use uncertainty quantification and sensitivity analyses to explore the type of data (e.g. full or partial solubility curves, Henryâs constants) and level of experimental accuracy which is necessary to generate reliable process models. This analysis offers quantitative insights into the appropriate data and models for designing and screening ILs for further study as HFC separating agents.
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