In response to this often seen issue, many proposed procedure modifications focus on adjusting the frequency of the event by invoking incident conditions that often cannot be verified by PHA/LOPA participants. An additional problem is that this often shifts the concept of the hazardous event from “loss of containment” to “harm.&' The shift of the analysis from prevention of release of highly hazardous chemicals to identifying potential &'luck factors&' results in the disengagement of operations personnel and disenfranchisement of process engineers. Industry is rapidly coming to consensus that these factors must be substantiated by documented justification.
Consequently, the challenge for many practioners of LOPA is how to achieve believable results from the LOPA without considering frequency factors that most team members are not qualified to estimate. LOPA can be substantially improved by implementing consequence estimation tools that assist team members in understanding the flammability, explosivity, and toxicity of process chemicals. This paper will discuss how a set of consequence estimation tables can be developed and implemented within a PHA/LOPA. Just as the frequency and risk reduction tables have greatly improved consistency of the hazardous event frequency, consequence tables can significantly increase the certainty in its estimate.
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